Mariana García Criado, Isla H Myers-Smith, Anne D Bjorkman, Signe Normand, Anne Blach-Overgaard, Haydn J D Thomas, Anu Eskelinen, Konsta Happonen, Juha M Alatalo, Alba Anadon-Rosell, Isabelle Aubin, Mariska Te Beest, Katlyn R Betway-May, Daan Blok, Allan Buras, Bruno E L Cerabolini, Katherine Christie, J Hans C Cornelissen, Bruce C Forbes, Esther R Frei, Paul Grogan, Luise Hermanutz, Robert D Hollister, James Hudson, Maitane Iturrate-Garcia, Elina Kaarlejärvi, Michael Kleyer, Laurent J Lamarque, Jonas J Lembrechts, Esther Lévesque, Miska Luoto, Petr Macek, Jeremy L May, Janet S Prevéy, Gabriela Schaepman-Strub, Serge N Sheremetiev, Laura Siegwart Collier, Nadejda A Soudzilovskaia, Andrew Trant, Susanna E Venn, Anna-Maria Virkkala
Climate change is leading to species redistributions. In the tundra biome, shrubs are generally expanding, but not all tundra shrub species will benefit from warming. Winner and loser species, and the characteristics that may determine success or failure, have not yet been fully identified. Here, we investigate whether past abundance changes, current range sizes and projected range shifts derived from species distribution models are related to plant trait values and intraspecific trait variation. We combined 17,921 trait records with observed past and modelled future distributions from 62 tundra shrub species across three continents...
June 28, 2023: Nature Communications