Martin J Kühn, Daniel Abele, Tanmay Mitra, Wadim Koslow, Majid Abedi, Kathrin Rack, Martin Siggel, Sahamoddin Khailaie, Margrit Klitz, Sebastian Binder, Luca Spataro, Jonas Gilg, Jan Kleinert, Matthias Häberle, Lena Plötzke, Christoph D Spinner, Melanie Stecher, Xiao Xiang Zhu, Michael Meyer-Hermann, Achim Basermann
Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are important to mitigate the spread of infectious diseases as long as no vaccination or outstanding medical treatments are available. We assess the effectiveness of the sets of non-pharmaceutical interventions that were in place during the course of the Coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic in Germany. Our results are based on hybrid models, combining SIR-type models on local scales with spatial resolution. In order to account for the age-dependence of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), we include realistic prepandemic and recently recorded contact patterns between age groups...
June 30, 2021: Mathematical Biosciences