Sarabeth M Mathis, Alexander E Webber, Tomás M León, Erin L Murray, Monica Sun, Lauren A White, Logan C Brooks, Alden Green, Addison J Hu, Daniel J McDonald, Roni Rosenfeld, Dmitry Shemetov, Ryan J Tibshirani, Sasikiran Kandula, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman, Rami Yaari, Teresa K Yamana, Pulak Agarwal, Srikar Balusu, Gautham Gururajan, Harshavardhan Kamarthi, B Aditya Prakash, Rishi Raman, Alexander Rodríguez, Zhiyuan Zhao, Akilan Meiyappan, Shalina Omar, Prasith Baccam, Heidi L Gurung, Steve A Stage, Brad T Suchoski, Marco Ajelli, Allisandra G Kummer, Maria Litvinova, Paulo C Ventura, Spencer Wadsworth, Jarad Niemi, Erica Carcelen, Alison L Hill, Sung-Mok Jung, Joseph C Lemaitre, Justin Lessler, Sara L Loo, Clifton D McKee, Koji Sato, Claire Smith, Shaun Truelove, Thomas McAndrew, Wenxuan Ye, Nikos Bosse, William S Hlavacek, Yen Ting Lin, Abhishek Mallela, Ye Chen, Shelby M Lamm, Jaechoul Lee, Richard G Posner, Amanda C Perofsky, Cécile Viboud, Leonardo Clemente, Fred Lu, Austin G Meyer, Mauricio Santillana, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Xinyue Xiong, Michal Ben-Nun, Pete Riley, James Turtle, Chis Hulme-Lowe, Shakeel Jessa, V P Nagraj, Stephen D Turner, Desiree Williams, Avranil Basu, John M Drake, Spencer J Fox, Graham C Gibson, Ehsan Suez, Edward W Thommes, Monica G Cojocaru, Estee Y Cramer, Aaron Gerding, Ariane Stark, Evan L Ray, Nicholas G Reich, Li Shandross, Nutcha Wattanachit, Yijin Wang, Martha W Zorn, Majd Al Aawar, Ajitesh Srivastava, Lauren A Meyers, Aniruddha Adiga, Benjamin Hurt, Gursharn Kaur, Bryan L Lewis, Madhav Marathe, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Patrick Butler, Andrew Farabow, Nikhil Muralidhar, Naren Ramakrishnan, Carrie Reed, Matthew Biggerstaff, Rebecca K Borchering
Accurate forecasts can enable more effective public health responses during seasonal influenza epidemics. Forecasting teams were asked to provide national and jurisdiction-specific probabilistic predictions of weekly confirmed influenza hospital admissions for one through four weeks ahead for the 2021-22 and 2022-23 influenza seasons. Across both seasons, 26 teams submitted forecasts, with the submitting teams varying between seasons. Forecast skill was evaluated using the Weighted Interval Score (WIS), relative WIS, and coverage...
December 11, 2023: medRxiv