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"Clinical prediction rules"

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https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28803709/low-back-pain-identifying-sub-groups-clinical-prediction-rules-and-measuring-results
#1
REVIEW
Alan Breen
No abstract text is available yet for this article.
August 3, 2017: Complementary Therapies in Clinical Practice
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28801412/health-practitioners-perceptions-of-adopting-clinical-prediction-rules-in-the-management-of-musculoskeletal-pain-a-qualitative-study-in-australia
#2
Joan Kelly, Michele Sterling, Trudy Rebbeck, Aila Nica Bandong, Andrew Leaver, Martin Mackey, Carrie Ritchie
OBJECTIVES: To investigate health practitioners' understanding and practice behaviours with regards to clinical prediction rules (CPRs) and explore their perceptions of adopting a new whiplash CPR. DESIGN: Qualitative study using six semistructured focus groups. SETTING: Primary and secondary care in New South Wales and Queensland, Australia. PARTICIPANTS: Physiotherapists (n=19), chiropractors (n=6) and osteopaths (n=3) were purposively sampled to include health practitioners who provide routine treatment to people with whiplash-associated disorders...
August 11, 2017: BMJ Open
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28790026/dominant-b-cell-receptor-clones-in-peripheral-blood-predict-onset-of-arthritis-in-individuals-at-risk-for-rheumatoid-arthritis
#3
Paul P Tak, Marieke E Doorenspleet, Maria J H de Hair, Paul L Klarenbeek, Marian H van Beers-Tas, Antoine H C van Kampen, Dirkjan van Schaardenburg, Danielle M Gerlag, Frank Baas, Niek de Vries
BACKGROUND: The onset of seropositive rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is preceded by the presence of specific autoantibodies in the absence of synovial inflammation. Only a subset of these at-risk individuals will develop clinical disease. This impedes efforts to implement early interventions that may prevent onset of clinically manifest disease. Here we analyse whether clonal changes in the B cell receptor (BCR) repertoire can reliably predict onset of signs and symptoms. METHODS: In a prospective cohort study in 21 individuals at risk for RA based on the presence of autoantibodies, the BCR repertoire of paired peripheral blood and synovial tissue samples was analysed using next-generation BCR sequencing...
August 8, 2017: Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28748088/modeling-risk-for-developing-drug-resistant-bacterial-infections-in-an-mdr-naive-critically-ill-population
#4
Rajiv Sonti, Megan E Conroy, Elena M Welt, Yi Hu, George Luta, Daniel B Jamieson
PURPOSE: To create a model predictive of an individual's risk of developing a de novo multidrug-resistant (MDR) infection while in the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: This is a case-control study in which 189 ICU patients diagnosed with their first infection with an MDR organism were compared on the basis of demographic, past medical and clinical variables to randomly selected ICU patients without such an infection, era-matched in a 2:1 ratio. A prediction tool was derived using multivariate logistic regression...
July 2017: Therapeutic Advances in Infectious Disease
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28727272/performance-of-clinical-prediction-rules-for-diagnosis-of-pleural-tuberculosis-in-a-high-incidence-setting
#5
Lely Solari, Alonso Soto, Patrick Van der Stuyft
OBJECTIVES: Diagnosis of pleural tuberculosis (PT) is still a challenge, particularly in resource- constrained settings. Alternative diagnostic tools are needed. We aimed at evaluating the utility of Clinical Prediction Rules (CPRs) for diagnosis of Pleural Tuberculosis (PT) in Peru. METHODS: We identified CPRs for diagnosis of PT through a structured literature search. CPRs using high-complexity tests, as defined by the FDA, were excluded. We applied the identified CPRs to patients with pleural exudates attending two third-level hospitals in Lima, Peru, a setting with high incidence of tuberculosis...
July 20, 2017: Tropical Medicine & International Health: TM & IH
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28716636/a-simplified-clinical-prediction-rule-for-prognosticating-independent-walking-after-spinal-cord-injury-a-prospective-study-from-a-canadian-multicenter-spinal-cord-injury-registry
#6
Katharine E Hicks, Yichen Zhao, Nader Fallah, Carly Rivers, Vanessa Noonan, Tova Plashkes, Eugene K Wai, Darren M Roffey, Eve Tsai, Jerome Paquet, Najmedden Attabib, Travis Marion, Henry Ahn, Philippe Phan
BACKGROUND: Context: Traumatic spinal cord injury (SCI) is a debilitating condition with limited treatment options for neurological or functional recovery. The ability to predict the prognosis of walking post-injury with emerging prediction models could aid in rehabilitation strategies and reintegration into the community. PURPOSE: To re-validate an existing clinical prediction model for independent ambulation (van Middendorp et al. 2011) utilising acute and long-term post-injury follow-up data, and to investigate the accuracy of a simplified model using prospectively collected data from a Canadian multicenter SCI database, the Rick Hansen Spinal Cord Injury Registry (RHSCIR)...
July 14, 2017: Spine Journal: Official Journal of the North American Spine Society
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28715510/correction-development-and-validation-of-a-clinical-prediction-rule-for-bacteremia-among-maintenance-hemodialysis-patients-in-outpatient-settings
#7
Sho Sasaki, Takeshi Hasegawa, Hiroo Kawarazaki, Atsushi Nomura, Daisuke Uchida, Takahiro Imaizumi, Masahide Furusho, Hiroki Nishiwaki, Shingo Fukuma, Yugo Shibagaki, Shunichi Fukuhara
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0169975.].
2017: PloS One
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28707499/performance-of-wells-score-to-predict-deep-vein-thrombosis-and-pulmonary-embolism-in-endurance-athletes
#8
Amanda L Zaleski, Beth A Taylor, Linda S Pescatello, Paul D Thompson, Craig Denegar
INTRODUCTION: There are an increasing number of reports describing deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and/or pulmonary embolism (PE) in otherwise healthy endurance athletes. The Wells score is the most commonly used clinical prediction rule to diagnose DVT/PE in clinical populations. However, the Wells score may have limited utility for recognition of DVT/PE in athletes, contributing to missed or delayed diagnosis. OBJECTIVE: We performed an analysis of the ability of the Wells score to identify DVT/PE events in athletes through a review of published case reports...
July 21, 2017: Physician and Sportsmedicine
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28698267/clinical-criteria-for-tracheostomy-decannulation-in-subjects-with-acquired-brain-injury
#9
Claudia Enrichi, Irene Battel, Cristiano Zanetti, Isabella Koch, Laura Ventura, Katie Palmer, Francesca Meneghello, Francesco Piccione, Simonetta Rossi, Marta Lazzeri, Maurizio Sommariva, Andrea Turolla
BACKGROUND: Patients with acquired brain injury (ABI) often require long periods of having a tracheostomy tube for airway protection and prolonged mechanical ventilation. It has been recognized that fast and safe decannulation improves outcomes and facilitates the recovery process. Nevertheless, few studies have provided evidence for decannulation criteria, despite the high prevalence of ABI subjects with tracheostomies. The aim of our study was to assess which clinical parameters are the best predictors for decannulation in subjects with ABI...
July 11, 2017: Respiratory Care
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28688113/assessing-clinical-probability-of-pulmonary-embolism-prospective-validation-of-the-simplified-geneva-score-in-outpatients
#10
H Robert-Ebadi, K Mostaguir, M M Hovens, M Kare, F Verschuren, P Girard, M V Huisman, F Moustafa, P W Kamphuisen, H R Buller, M Righini, G Le Gal
BACKGROUND: Pretest probability assessment by a clinical prediction rule (CPR) is an important step in the management of patients with suspected pulmonary embolism (PE). A limitation to the use of CPR is that their constitutive variables and corresponding number of points are difficult to memorize. A simplified version of the Geneva score (i.e. attributing one point to each variable) has been proposed but never been prospectively validated. AIMS: Prospective validation of the simplified Geneva score (SGS) and comparison with the previous version of the Geneva score (GS)...
July 8, 2017: Journal of Thrombosis and Haemostasis: JTH
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28655511/tobacco-use-as-a-screener-for-clostridium-difficile-infection-outcomes
#11
Anna K Barker, Ashley Van Galen, Ajay K Sethi, Daniel Shirley, Nasia Safdar
We conducted a retrospective cohort study to evaluate the utility of self-reported tobacco use for developing a clinical prediction rule for poor outcomes of Clostridium difficile infection. We found that patients with any history of smoking were significantly less likely than never smokers to be cured of their infection within two weeks. Disease recurrence, readmission within thirty days, death before treatment completion, and the severity of Clostridium difficile infection were not associated with smoking status...
June 24, 2017: Journal of Hospital Infection
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28641750/predicting-outcomes-in-congenital-diaphragmatic-hernia
#12
Oluwatomilayo Daodu, Mary E Brindle
Identification of CDH infant populations at high risk for mortality postnatally may help to develop targeted care strategies, guide discussions surrounding palliation and contribute to standardizing reporting and benchmarking, so that care strategies at different centers can be compared. Clinical prediction rules are evidence-based tools that combine multiple predictors to estimate the probability that a particular outcome in an individual patient will occur. In CDH, a suitable clinical prediction rule can stratify high- and low-risk populations and provide the ability to tailor management strategies based on severity...
June 2017: Seminars in Pediatric Surgery
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28637595/a-one-year-mortality-clinical-prediction-rule-for-patients-with-heart-failure
#13
Antonio Escobar, Lidia García-Pérez, Gemma Navarro, Amaia Bilbao, Raul Quiros
AIMS: To create and validate a clinical prediction rule which is easy to manage, reproducible and that allows classifying patients admitted for heart failure according to their one-year mortality risk. METHODS: A prospective cohort study carried out with 2565 consecutive patients admitted with heart failure in 13 hospitals in Spain. The derivation cohort was made up of 1283 patients and 1282 formed the validation cohort. In the derivation cohort, we carried out a multivariate logistic model to predict one-year mortality...
June 18, 2017: European Journal of Internal Medicine
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28635149/underuse-of-risk-assessment-and-overuse-of-ctpa-in-patients-with-suspected-pulmonary-thromboembolism
#14
Michael Perera, Leena Aggarwal, Ian A Scott, Nicholas Cocks
INTRODUCTION: Evidence suggests potential overuse of computerised tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) in patients with suspected pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) in the absence of consistent use of pre-test clinical prediction rules and D-dimer assays. METHODS: 344 consecutive patients undergoing CTPA at a tertiary hospital were studied for use of D-dimer assays and clinical prediction rules for PTE. For each patient, a modified Wells score (mWS), revised Geneva score (rGS) and PISA model were calculated retrospectively; performance characteristics for each rule for PTE were determined in reference to results of CTPA...
June 21, 2017: Internal Medicine Journal
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28622175/predictors-prognosis-and-management-of-new-clinically-important-atrial-fibrillation-after-noncardiac-surgery-a-prospective-cohort-study
#15
MULTICENTER STUDY
Pablo Alonso-Coello, Deborah Cook, Shou Chun Xu, Alben Sigamani, Otavio Berwanger, Soori Sivakumaran, Homer Yang, Denis Xavier, Luz Ximena Martinez, Pedro Ibarra, Purnima Rao-Melacini, Janice Pogue, Kelly Zarnke, Pilar Paniagua, Jack Ostrander, Salim Yusuf, P J Devereaux
BACKGROUND: Despite the frequency of new clinically important atrial fibrillation (AF) after noncardiac surgery and its increased association with the risk of stroke at 30 days, there are limited data informing their prediction, association with outcomes, and management. METHODS: We used the data from the PeriOperative ISchemic Evaluation trial to determine, in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery, the association of new clinically important AF with 30-day outcomes, and to assess management of these patients...
July 2017: Anesthesia and Analgesia
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28611156/clinical-prediction-rule-for-delayed-hemothorax-after-minor-thoracic-injury-a-multicentre-derivation-and-validation-study
#16
Marcel Émond, Chantal Guimont, Jean-Marc Chauny, Raoul Daoust, Éric Bergeron, Laurent Vanier, Lynne Moore, Miville Plourde, Batomen Kuimi, Valérie Boucher, Nadine Allain-Boulé, Natalie Le Sage
BACKGROUND: About 75% of patients with minor thoracic injury are discharged after an emergency department visit. However, complications such as delayed hemothorax can occur. We sought to derive and validate a clinical decision rule to predict hemothorax in patients discharged from the emergency department. METHODS: We conducted a 6-year prospective cohort study in 4 university-affiliated emergency departments. Patients aged 16 years or older presenting with a minor thoracic injury were assessed at 5 time points (initial visit and 7, 14, 30 and 90 d after the injury)...
June 12, 2017: CMAJ Open
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28591223/why-do-authors-derive-new-cardiovascular-clinical-prediction-rules-in-the-presence-of-existing-rules-a-mixed-methods-study
#17
Jong-Wook Ban, Emma Wallace, Richard Stevens, Rafael Perera
BACKGROUND: Researchers should examine existing evidence to determine the need for a new study. It is unknown whether developers evaluate existing evidence to justify new cardiovascular clinical prediction rules (CPRs). OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess whether authors of cardiovascular CPRs cited existing CPRs, why some authors did not cite existing CPRs, and why they thought existing CPRs were insufficient. METHOD: Derivation studies of cardiovascular CPRs from the International Register of Clinical Prediction Rules for Primary Care were evaluated...
2017: PloS One
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28587665/hospitalization-for-community-acquired-febrile-urinary-tract-infection-validation-and-impact-assessment-of-a-clinical-prediction-rule
#18
Janneke E Stalenhoef, Willize E van der Starre, Albert M Vollaard, Ewout W Steyerberg, Nathalie M Delfos, Eliane M S Leyten, Ted Koster, Hans C Ablij, Jan W Van't Wout, Jaap T van Dissel, Cees van Nieuwkoop
BACKGROUND: There is a lack of severity assessment tools to identify adults presenting with febrile urinary tract infection (FUTI) at risk for complicated outcome and guide admission policy. We aimed to validate the Prediction Rule for Admission policy in Complicated urinary Tract InfeCtion LEiden (PRACTICE), a modified form of the pneumonia severity index, and to subsequentially assess its use in clinical practice. METHODS: A prospective observational multicenter study for model validation (2004-2009), followed by a multicenter controlled clinical trial with stepped wedge cluster-randomization for impact assessment (2010-2014), with a follow up of 3 months...
June 6, 2017: BMC Infectious Diseases
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28586924/scoring-systems-for-estimating-the-risk-of-recurrent-venous-thromboembolism
#19
Ilaria Nichele, Alberto Tosetto
The risk of recurrence after suspension of anticoagulant treatment in patients with a first episode of unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is highly variable from patient to patient. Not all patients are candidates for life-long anticoagulant therapy, essentially because there remain concerns for such an option regarding hemorrhagic complications and clinical monitoring. Thus, the "treat all" approach may be inadequate for some patients at low risk of relapse. Proper assessment of the recurrence risk may be helpful to decide the optimal therapeutic strategy in such patients...
July 2017: Seminars in Thrombosis and Hemostasis
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28560486/new-scoring-model-darsym-score-to-predict-post-discharge-bleeding-after-successful-second-generation-drug-eluting-stent-implantation
#20
Yohsuke Honda, Masahiro Yamawaki, Keisuke Hirano, Motoharu Araki, Norihiro Kobayashi, Yasunari Sakamoto, Shinsuke Mori, Masakazu Tsutumi, Takuro Takama, Takahiro Tokuda, Kenji Makino, Shigemitsu Shirai, Yoshiaki Ito
We aimed to create a scoring model to predict post-discharge bleeding (PDB) after drug-eluting stent (DES) implantation in Japanese subjects. We enrolled 1912 consecutive patients undergoing DES implantation (age 70 ± 10 years; 72% male). PDB was defined as a composite of type 5, 3, and 2 bleeding using the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium criteria. A Cox proportional hazard model assessed predictors, and we then derived a clinical model stratifying risk of PDB after DES implantation. Ninety-eight patients (6...
May 30, 2017: Heart and Vessels
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