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BACKGROUND: Previous studies have demonstrated that incorporating a polygenic risk score (PRS) to existing risk prediction models for breast cancer improves model fit, but to determine its clinical utility the impact on risk categorisation needs to be established. We add a PRS to two well-established models and quantify the difference in classification using the net reclassification improvement (NRI). METHODS: We analysed data from 126,490 post-menopausal women of "White British" ancestry, aged 40-69 years at baseline from the UK Biobank prospective cohort...

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The liver cirrhosis complications occur after long asymptomatic stages of progressive fibrosis and are generally diagnosed late. We aimed to develop a plasma metabolomic-based score tool to predict these events. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We enrolled 64,005 UK biobank participants with metabolomic profile. Participants were randomly divided into the training (n=43,734) and validation cohorts (n=20,271). Liver cirrhosis complications were defined as hospitalization for liver cirrhosis or presentation with hepatocellular carcinoma...

BACKGROUND: While dietary salt intake has been linked with gastric cancer risk in Asian studies, findings from Western populations are sparse and limited to case-control studies. Our aim was to evaluate the frequency of adding salt to food at table in relation to gastric cancer risk among UK adults. METHODS: We evaluated associations between the frequency of adding salt to food and the risk of gastric cancer in the UK Biobank (N = 471,144) using multivariable Cox regression...

BACKGROUND: The impact of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) on incident dementia is unknown. Our aim was to evaluate the relationship between GDM and all-cause dementia and the mediating effects of chronic diseases on this relationship. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included women from the UK Biobank who were grouped based on GDM history. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to explore the associations between GDM and dementia. We further analysed the mediating effects of chronic diseases on this relationship and the interactions of covariates...

AIMS: The relationships between long-term blood pressure (BP) measures and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), as well as their predictive ability on ICH, were unclear. We aimed to investigate the independent associations of multiple BP measures with subsequent 5-year ICH risk, as well as the incremental value of these measures over a single-point BP measurement in ICH risk prediction. METHODS: We included 12,398 participants from the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) who completed three surveys every four to five years...

Optimizing natural killer (NK) cell alloreactivity could further improve outcome after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT). The donor's Killer-cell Immunoglobulin-like Receptor (KIR) genotype may provide important information in this regard. In the past decade, different models have been proposed aiming at maximizing NK cell activation by activating KIR-ligand interactions or minimizing inhibitory KIR-ligand interactions. Alternative classifications intended predicting outcome after alloHCT by donor KIR-haplotypes...

BACKGROUND: Androgenetic alopecia (AGA) is the most common type of androgen-associated hair loss. Previous studies have indicated an association between the gut microbiota and AGA. To delve deeper, we executed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to investigate the potential causal relationship between the gut microbiota and AGA. METHODS: A two-sample MR investigation was utilized to delve into the intricate interplay between gut microbiota and AGA...

BACKGROUND: Impaired glucose utilization influences myocardial contractile function. However, the prognostic importance of left ventricular global radial strain (LV-GRS), left ventricular global circumferential strain (LV-GCS), and left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LV-GLS) in predicting new-onset heart failure (HF) in a population with diabetes is unclear. METHODS: The study design is prospective cohort from the UK Biobank. Totally 37,899 participants had a complete data of cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR), of which 940 patients with diabetes were included, and all the participants completed follow-up...

INTRODUCTION: Knowledge of the impact of smoking on healthcare costs is important for establishing the external effects of smoking and for evaluating policies intended to modify this behavior. Conventional analysis of this association is difficult because of omitted variable bias, reverse causality, and measurement error. METHODS: We approached these challenges using a Mendelian Randomization study design; genetic variants associated with smoking behaviors were used in instrumental variables models with inpatient hospital costs (calculated from electronic health records) as the outcome...

Machine learning (ML) methods are increasingly becoming crucial in genome-wide association studies for identifying key genetic variants or SNPs that statistical methods might overlook. Statistical methods predominantly identify SNPs with notable effect sizes by conducting association tests on individual genetic variants, one at a time, to determine their relationship with the target phenotype. These genetic variants are then used to create polygenic risk scores (PRSs), estimating an individual's genetic risk for complex diseases like cancer or cardiovascular disorders...

BACKGROUND: Sarcoidosis is a systemic granulomatous disease of unknown etiology primarily affecting the lungs. Treatment is needed when disease symptoms worsen and organ function deteriorates. In pulmonary sarcoidosis, prednisone and methotrexate (MTX) are the most common anti-inflammatory therapies. However, there is large inter-patient variability in response to treatment, and predictive response markers are currently lacking. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we investigated the predictive potential of biomarkers in extracellular vesicles (EVs) isolated from biobanked serum of patients with pulmonary sarcoidosis stored prior to start of therapy...

BACKGROUND: The effect of dyslipidemia on kidney disease outcomes has been inconclusive, and it requires further clarification. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the effects of genetic factors on the association between dyslipidemia and the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) using polygenic risk score (PRS). METHODS: We analyzed data from 373,523 participants from the UK Biobank aged 40-69 years with no history of CKD. Baseline data included plasma levels of total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglyceride, as well as genome-wide genotype data for PRS...

CONTEXT: Dysbetalipoproteinemia (DBL) is a multifactorial disorder that disrupts the normal metabolism of remnant lipoproteins, causing increased risk of cardiovascular disease. However, establishing a proper diagnosis is difficult and the true prevalence of the disease in the general population remains unknown. OBJECTIVE: The objectives were to study the prevalence of the disease and to validate the performance of different clinical diagnostic criteria in a large population-based cohort...

Detecting epistatic drivers of human phenotypes is a considerable challenge. Traditional approaches use regression to sequentially test multiplicative interaction terms involving pairs of genetic variants. For higher-order interactions and genome-wide large-scale data, this strategy is computationally intractable. Moreover, multiplicative terms used in regression modeling may not capture the form of biological interactions. Building on the Predictability, Computability, Stability (PCS) framework, we introduce the epiTree pipeline to extract higher-order interactions from genomic data using tree-based models...

The morphologic properties of brain regions co-vary or correlate with each other. Here we investigated the structural covariances of cortical thickness and subcortical volumes in the ageing brain, along with their associations with age and cognition, using cross-sectional data from the UK Biobank (N = 42,075, aged 45-83 years, 53% female). As the structural covariance should be estimated in a group of participants, all participants were divided into 84 non-overlapping, equal-sized age groups ranging from the youngest to the oldest...

There is an unmet need for robust and clinically validated biomarkers of kidney allograft rejection. Here we present the KTD-Innov study (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03582436), an unselected deeply phenotyped cohort of kidney transplant recipients with a holistic approach to validate the clinical utility of precision diagnostic biomarkers. In 2018-2019, we prospectively enrolled consecutive adult patients who received a kidney allograft at seven French centers and followed them for a year. We performed multimodal phenotyping at follow-up visits, by collecting clinical, biological, immunological, and histological parameters, and analyzing a panel of 147 blood, urinary and kidney tissue biomarkers...

AIMS: Prediction and early detection of heart failure (HF) is crucial to mitigate its impact on quality of life, survival, and healthcare expenditure. Here, we explored the predictive value of serum metabolomics (168 metabolites detected by proton nuclear magnetic resonance [1 H-NMR] spectroscopy) for incident HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Leveraging data of 68 311 individuals and >0.8 million person-years of follow-up from the UK Biobank cohort, we (i) fitted per-metabolite Cox proportional hazards models to assess individual metabolite associations, and (ii) trained and validated elastic net models to predict incident HF using the serum metabolome...

OBJECTIVE: Integrated analyses of plasma proteomics and genetic data in prospective studies can help assess the causal relevance of proteins, improve risk prediction, and discover novel protein drug targets for type 2 diabetes (T2D). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We measured plasma levels of 2,923 proteins using Olink Explore among ∼2,000 randomly selected participants from China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) without prior diabetes at baseline. Cox regression assessed associations of individual protein with incident T2D (n = 92 cases)...

BACKGROUND: Glaucoma is a leading cause of worldwide irreversible blindness. Considerable uncertainty remains regarding the association between a variety of phenotypes and the genetic risk of glaucoma, as well as the impact they exert on the glaucoma development. METHODS: We investigated the associations of genetic liability for primary open angle glaucoma (POAG) with a wide range of potential risk factors and to assess its impact on the risk of incident glaucoma...