CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology

Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a sleep disorder which is linked to many health risks. The gold standard to evaluate OSA in clinical trials is the Apnea-Hypopnea Index (AHI). However, it is time-consuming, costly, and disregards aspects such as quality of life. Therefore, it is of interest to use patient-reported outcomes like the Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS), which measures daytime sleepiness, as surrogate end points. We investigate the link between AHI and ESS, via item response theory (IRT) modeling. Through the developed IRT model it was identified that AHI and ESS are not correlated to any high degree and probably not measuring the same sleepiness construct...

Noncompartmental analysis (NCA) is a model-independent approach for assessing pharmacokinetics (PKs). Although the existing NCA algorithms are very well-established and widely utilized, they suffer from low accuracies in the setting of sparse PK samples. In response, we developed Deep-NCA, a deep learning (DL) model to improve the prediction of key noncompartmental PK parameters. Our methodology utilizes synthetic PK data for model training and uses an innovative patient-specific normalization method for data preprocessing...

Ciprofol (HSK3486) is a newly developed, highly selective γ-aminobutyric acid-A (GABAA ) receptor potentiator that is recently approved for a new indication of sedation for patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) in China. This analysis aimed to characterize the population pharmacokinetics (PopPKs) of ciprofol and evaluate the relationship of exposure with hypotension in mechanically ventilated patients in the ICU. A total of 462 subjects with 3918 concentration measurements from two clinical trials of mechanically ventilated patients in the ICU, four clinical trials of elective surgical patients, and six clinical trials of healthy subjects were used in the PopPK analysis...

Item response theory (IRT) models are usually the best way to analyze composite or rating scale data. Standard methods to evaluate covariate or treatment effects in IRT models do not allow to identify item-specific effects. Finding subgroups of patients who respond differently to certain items could be very important when designing inclusion or exclusion criteria for clinical trials, and aid in understanding different treatment responses in varying disease manifestations. We present a new method to investigate item-specific effects in IRT models, which is based on inspection of residuals...

There is growing interest in the use of long-acting (LA) injectable drugs to improve treatment adherence. However, their long elimination half-life complicates the conduct of clinical trials. Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling is a mathematical tool that allows to simulate unknown clinical scenarios for LA formulations. Thus, this work aimed to develop and verify a mechanistic intramuscular PBPK model. The framework describing the release of a LA drug from the depot was developed by including both the physiology of the injection site and the physicochemical properties of the drug...

The inclusion of covariates in pharmacometric models is important due to their ability to explain variability in drug exposure and response. Clear communication of the impact of covariates is needed to support informed decision making in clinical practice and in drug development. However, effectively conveying these effects to key stakeholders and decision makers can be challenging. Forest plots have been proposed to meet these communication needs. However, forest plots for the illustration of covariate effects in pharmacometrics are complex combinations of model predictions, uncertainty estimates, tabulated results, and reference lines and intervals...

Tuberculosis (TB) is a life-threatening infectious disease. The standard treatment is up to 90% effective; however, it requires the administration of four antibiotics (isoniazid, rifampicin, pyrazinamide, and ethambutol [HRZE]) over long time periods. This harsh treatment process causes adherence issues for patients because of the long treatment times and a myriad of adverse effects. Therefore, the World Health Organization has focused goals of shortening standard treatment regimens for TB in their End TB Strategy efforts, which aim to reduce TB-related deaths by 95% by 2035...

Insight into the development of treatment resistance can support the optimization of anticancer treatments. This study aims to characterize the tumor dynamics and development of drug resistance in patients with non-small cell lung cancer treated with erlotinib, and investigate the relationship between baseline circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) data and tumor dynamics. Data obtained for the analysis included (1) intensively sampled erlotinib concentrations from 29 patients from two previous pharmacokinetic (PK) studies, and (2) tumor sizes, ctDNA measurements, and sparsely sampled erlotinib concentrations from 18 patients from the START-TKI study...

As Parkinson's disease (PD) progresses, there are multiple biomarker changes, and sex and genetic variants may influence the rate of progression. Data-driven, long-term disease progression model analysis may provide precise knowledge of the relationships between these risk factors and progression and would allow for the selection of appropriate diagnosis and treatment according to disease progression. To construct a long-term disease progression model of PD based on multiple biomarkers and evaluate the effects of sex and leucine-rich repeat kinase 2 (LRRK2) mutations, a technique derived from the nonlinear mixed-effects model (Statistical Restoration of Fragmented Time course [SReFT]) was applied to datasets of patients provided by the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative...

Tirzepatide is a first-in-class glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist approved as for the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus. A population-based pharmacokinetic (PK) model was developed from 19 pooled studies. Tirzepatide pharmacokinetics were well-described by a two-compartment model with first order absorption and elimination. The tirzepatide population PK model utilized a semimechanistic allometry model to describe the relationship between body size and tirzepatide PK...

Organ-on-a-chip (OoC) systems are a promising new class of in vitro devices that can combine various tissues, cultured in different compartments, linked by media flow. The properties of these novel in vitro systems linked to increased physiological relevance of culture conditions may lead to more in vivo-relevant cell phenotypes, enabling better in vitro pharmacology and toxicology assessment. Improved cell activities combined with longer lasting cultures offer opportunities to improve the characterization of absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME) processes, potentially leading to more accurate prediction of human pharmacokinetics (PKs)...

Multistate models have been used for decades to analyze the economics of expensive and long-lasting treatments. More recently they also served to address questions in clinical drug development. It seems timely to introduce the broader pharmacometrics community to the technical aspects and the problem-solving capabilities of these models. A minimal model is introduced that can answer questions of interest to drug developers, regulatory agencies, and patients (with their carers and payers). A clinical study is simulated where 1000 patients are randomly allocated (1:1) to placebo and active treatment...

Personalized dosing approaches play important roles in clinical practices to improve benefit: risk profiles. Whereas this is also important for drug development, especially in the context of drugs with narrow therapeutic windows, such approaches have not been fully evaluated during clinical development. Fazpilodemab (BFKB8488A) is an agonistic bispecific antibody which was being developed for the treatment of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. The objective of this study was to characterize the exposure-response relationships of fazpilodemab with the purpose of guiding dose selection for a phase II study, as well as to evaluate various personalized dosing strategies to optimize the treatment benefit...

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The objective of this population pharmacokinetic (PK) analysis was to characterize the concentration-time profile of brepocitinib plasma concentration after single- and multiple-oral administration in healthy volunteers (HVs) and patients with immuno-inflammatory diseases. Blood samples from phase I HV and phase II clinical studies of patients with alopecia areata, psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, ulcerative colitis (UC), vitiligo, and hidradenitis suppurativa were analyzed using a nonlinear mixed-effects modeling approach...

Polycythemia vera (PV) is a chronic myeloproliferative neoplasm characterized by excessive levels of platelets (PLT), white blood cells (WBC), and hematocrit (HCT). Givinostat (ITF2357) is a potent histone-deacetylase inhibitor that showed a good safety/efficacy profile in PV patients during phase I/II studies. A phase III clinical trial had been planned and an adaptive dosing protocol had been proposed where givinostat dose is iteratively adjusted every 28 days (one cycle) based on PLT, WBC, and HCT...

Lefamulin is being evaluated as a treatment for bacterial exacerbations in cystic fibrosis (CF). Ivacaftor is approved for the treatment of patients with CF. Lefamulin is a moderate CYP3A inhibitor and co-administration with ivacaftor may result in a drug-drug interaction (DDI). A CF population was built based on literature using the Simcyp Simulator. A previously developed and validated physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model for ivacaftor was used. A PBPK model for lefamulin was developed and verified...

These analyses characterized tofacitinib pharmacokinetics (PKs) in children and adolescents with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). Data were pooled from phase I (NCT01513902), phase III (NCT02592434), and open-label, long-term extension (NCT01500551) studies of tofacitinib tablet/solution (weight-based doses administered twice daily [b.i.d.]) in patients with JIA aged 2 to less than 18 years. Population PK modeling used a nonlinear mixed-effects approach, with covariates identified using stepwise forward-inclusion backward-deletion procedures...

Brigatinib is an oral anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK) inhibitor approved for the treatment of ALK-positive metastatic non-small cell lung cancer. In vitro studies indicated that brigatinib is primarily metabolized by CYP2C8 and CYP3A4 and inhibits P-gp, BCRP, OCT1, MATE1, and MATE2K. Clinical drug-drug interaction (DDI) studies with the strong CYP3A inhibitor itraconazole or the strong CYP3A inducer rifampin demonstrated that CYP3A-mediated metabolism was the primary contributor to overall brigatinib clearance in humans...

Schizophrenia (SCZ) response to pharmacological treatment is highly variable. Quetiapine (QTP) administered as QTP lipid core nanocapsules (QLNC) has been shown to modulate drug delivery to the brain of SCZ phenotyped rats (SPR). In the present study, we describe the brain concentration-effect relationship after administrations of QTP as a solution or QLNC to SPR and naïve animals. A semimechanistic pharmacokinetic (PK) model describing free QTP concentrations in the brain was linked to a pharmacodynamic (PD) model to correlate the drug kinetics to changes in dopamine (DA) medial prefrontal cortex extracellular concentrations determined by intracerebral microdialysis...