Masaya M Saito, Nobuo Hirotsu, Hiroka Hamada, Mio Takei, Keisuke Honda, Takamichi Baba, Takahiro Hasegawa, Yoshitake Kitanishi
BACKGROUND: Influenza is a public health issue that needs to be addressed strategically. The assessment of detailed infectious profiles is an important part of this effort. Household transmission data play a key role in estimating such profiles. We used diagnostic and questionnaire-based data on influenza patients at a Japanese clinic to estimate the detailed infectious period (as well as incubation period, symptomatic and infectious periods, and extended infectious period after recovery) and the secondary attack ratio (SAR) of influenza for households of various sizes based on a modified Cauchemez-type model...
February 10, 2021: Theoretical Biology & Medical Modelling