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Tian Dai, Ying Guo, Limin Peng, Amita K Manatunga
Assessing agreement is often of interest in biomedical and clinical research when measurements are obtained on the same subjects by different raters or methods. Most classical agreement methods have been focused on global summary statistics, which cannot be used to describe various local agreement patterns. The objective of this work is to study the local agreement pattern between two continuous measurements subject to censoring. In this article, we propose a new agreement measure based on bivariate hazard functions to characterize the local agreement pattern between two correlated survival outcomes...
July 19, 2017: Biometrics
Qianchuan He, Yang Liu, Ulrike Peters, Li Hsu
Somatic mutations are the driving forces for tumor development, and recent advances in cancer genome sequencing have made it feasible to evaluate the association between somatic mutations and cancer-related traits in large sample sizes. However, despite increasingly large sample sizes, it remains challenging to conduct statistical analysis for somatic mutations, because the vast majority of somatic mutations occur at very low frequencies. Furthermore, cancer is a complex disease and it is often accompanied by multiple traits that reflect various aspects of cancer; how to combine the information of these traits to identify important somatic mutations poses additional challenges...
July 19, 2017: Biometrics
Yijian Huang, Ching-Yun Wang
Many survival studies have error-contaminated covariates due to the lack of a gold standard of measurement. Furthermore, the error distribution can depend on the true covariates but the structure may be difficult to characterize; heteroscedasticity is a common manifestation. We suggest a novel dependent measurement error model with minimal assumptions on the dependence structure, and propose a new functional modeling method for Cox regression when an instrumental variable is available. This proposal accommodates much more general error contamination than existing approaches including nonparametric correction methods of Huang and Wang (2000, Journal of the American Statistical Association 95, 1209-1219; 2006, Statistica Sinica 16, 861-881)...
July 6, 2017: Biometrics
Sai H Dharmarajan, Douglas E Schaubel, Rajiv Saran
It is often of interest to compare centers or healthcare providers on quality of care delivered. We consider the setting where evaluation of center performance on multiple competing events is of interest. We propose estimating center effects through cause-specific proportional hazards frailty models that allow correlation among a center's cause-specific effects. Estimation of our model proceeds via penalized partial likelihood and is implemented in R. To evaluate center performance, we also propose a directly standardized excess cumulative incidence (ECI) measure...
July 6, 2017: Biometrics
Sofía S Villar, William F Rosenberger
We introduce a non-myopic, covariate-adjusted response adaptive (CARA) allocation design for multi-armed clinical trials. The allocation scheme is a computationally tractable procedure based on the Gittins index solution to the classic multi-armed bandit problem and extends the procedure recently proposed in Villar et al. (2015). Our proposed CARA randomization procedure is defined by reformulating the bandit problem with covariates into a classic bandit problem in which there are multiple combination arms, considering every arm per each covariate category as a distinct treatment arm...
July 6, 2017: Biometrics
Richard J Barker, Matthew R Schofield, William A Link, John R Sauer
N-mixture models describe count data replicated in time and across sites in terms of abundance N and detectability p. They are popular because they allow inference about N while controlling for factors that influence p without the need for marking animals. Using a capture-recapture perspective, we show that the loss of information that results from not marking animals is critical, making reliable statistical modeling of N and p problematic using just count data. One cannot reliably fit a model in which the detection probabilities are distinct among repeat visits as this model is overspecified...
July 3, 2017: Biometrics
Ying Huang
This article focuses on the evaluation of vaccine-induced immune responses as principal surrogate markers for predicting a given vaccine's effect on the clinical endpoint of interest. To address the problem of missing potential outcomes under the principal surrogate framework, we can utilize baseline predictors of the immune biomarker(s) or vaccinate uninfected placebo recipients at the end of the trial and measure their immune biomarkers. Examples of good baseline predictors are baseline immune responses when subjects enrolled in the trial have been previously exposed to the same antigen, as in our motivating application of the Zostavax Efficacy and Safety Trial (ZEST)...
June 26, 2017: Biometrics
Zhonghua Liu, Xihong Lin
We study in this article jointly testing the associations of a genetic variant with correlated multiple phenotypes using the summary statistics of individual phenotype analysis from Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWASs). We estimated the between-phenotype correlation matrix using the summary statistics of individual phenotype GWAS analyses, and developed genetic association tests for multiple phenotypes by accounting for between-phenotype correlation without the need to access individual-level data. Since genetic variants often affect multiple phenotypes differently across the genome and the between-phenotype correlation can be arbitrary, we proposed robust and powerful multiple phenotype testing procedures by jointly testing a common mean and a variance component in linear mixed models for summary statistics...
June 26, 2017: Biometrics
Brandon Koch, David M Vock, Julian Wolfson
The efficiency of doubly robust estimators of the average causal effect (ACE) of a treatment can be improved by including in the treatment and outcome models only those covariates which are related to both treatment and outcome (i.e., confounders) or related only to the outcome. However, it is often challenging to identify such covariates among the large number that may be measured in a given study. In this article, we propose GLiDeR (Group Lasso and Doubly Robust Estimation), a novel variable selection technique for identifying confounders and predictors of outcome using an adaptive group lasso approach that simultaneously performs coefficient selection, regularization, and estimation across the treatment and outcome models...
June 21, 2017: Biometrics
Richard Huggins, Jakub Stoklosa, Cameron Roach, Paul Yip
Sparse capture-recapture data from open populations are difficult to analyze using currently available frequentist statistical methods. However, in closed capture-recapture experiments, the Chao sparse estimator (Chao, 1989, Biometrics 45, 427-438) may be used to estimate population sizes when there are few recaptures. Here, we extend the Chao (1989) closed population size estimator to the open population setting by using linear regression and extrapolation techniques. We conduct a small simulation study and apply the models to several sparse capture-recapture data sets...
June 20, 2017: Biometrics
Ajit C Tamhane, Jiangtao Gou, Christopher Jennison, Cyrus R Mehta, Teresa Curto
Glimm et al. (2010) and Tamhane et al. (2010) studied the problem of testing a primary and a secondary endpoint, subject to a gatekeeping constraint, using a group sequential design (GSD) with K=2 looks. In this article, we greatly extend the previous results to multiple (K>2) looks. If the familywise error rate (FWER) is to be controlled at a preassigned α level then it is clear that the primary boundary must be of level α. We show under what conditions one α-level primary boundary is uniformly more powerful than another...
June 6, 2017: Biometrics
John P Buonaccorsi, Giovanni Romeo, Magne Thoresen
When fitting regression models, measurement error in any of the predictors typically leads to biased coefficients and incorrect inferences. A plethora of methods have been proposed to correct for this. Obtaining standard errors and confidence intervals using the corrected estimators can be challenging and, in addition, there is concern about remaining bias in the corrected estimators. The bootstrap, which is one option to address these problems, has received limited attention in this context. It has usually been employed by simply resampling observations, which, while suitable in some situations, is not always formally justified...
May 30, 2017: Biometrics
Daniel Scharfstein, Aidan McDermott, Iván Díaz, Marco Carone, Nicola Lunardon, Ibrahim Turkoz
In practice, both testable and untestable assumptions are generally required to draw inference about the mean outcome measured at the final scheduled visit in a repeated measures study with drop-out. Scharfstein et al. (2014) proposed a sensitivity analysis methodology to determine the robustness of conclusions within a class of untestable assumptions. In their approach, the untestable and testable assumptions were guaranteed to be compatible; their testable assumptions were based on a fully parametric model for the distribution of the observable data...
May 23, 2017: Biometrics
Yifei Sun, Kwun Chuen Gary Chan, Jing Qin
Length-biased survival data subject to right-censoring are often collected from a prevalent cohort. However, informative right censoring induced by the sampling design creates challenges in methodological development. While certain conditioning arguments could circumvent the problem of informative censoring, related rank estimation methods are typically inefficient because the marginal likelihood of the backward recurrence time is not ancillary. Under a semiparametric accelerated failure time model, an overidentified set of log-rank estimating equations is constructed based on the left-truncated right-censored data and backward recurrence time...
May 15, 2017: Biometrics
David I Warton
While data transformation is a common strategy to satisfy linear modeling assumptions, a theoretical result is used to show that transformation cannot reasonably be expected to stabilize variances for small counts. Under broad assumptions, as counts get smaller, it is shown that the variance becomes proportional to the mean under monotonic transformations g(·) that satisfy g(0)=0, excepting a few pathological cases. A suggested rule-of-thumb is that if many predicted counts are less than one then data transformation cannot reasonably be expected to stabilize variances, even for a well-chosen transformation...
May 15, 2017: Biometrics
Silvia Montagna, Tor Wager, Lisa Feldman Barrett, Timothy D Johnson, Thomas E Nichols
Now over 20 years old, functional MRI (fMRI) has a large and growing literature that is best synthesised with meta-analytic tools. As most authors do not share image data, only the peak activation coordinates (foci) reported in the article are available for Coordinate-Based Meta-Analysis (CBMA). Neuroimaging meta-analysis is used to (i) identify areas of consistent activation; and (ii) build a predictive model of task type or cognitive process for new studies (reverse inference). To simultaneously address these aims, we propose a Bayesian point process hierarchical model for CBMA...
May 12, 2017: Biometrics
Shigeyuki Matsui, Hisashi Noma, Pingping Qu, Yoshio Sakai, Kota Matsui, Christoph Heuck, John Crowley
This article proposes an efficient approach to screening genes associated with a phenotypic variable of interest in genomic studies with subgroups. In order to capture and detect various association profiles across subgroups, we flexibly estimate the underlying effect size distribution across subgroups using a semi-parametric hierarchical mixture model for subgroup-specific summary statistics from independent subgroups. We then perform gene ranking and selection using an optimal discovery procedure based on the fitted model with control of false discovery rate...
May 12, 2017: Biometrics
Hung Hung, Zhi-Yu Jou, Su-Yun Huang
Logistic regression is among the most widely used statistical methods for linear discriminant analysis. In many applications, we only observe possibly mislabeled responses. Fitting a conventional logistic regression can then lead to biased estimation. One common resolution is to fit a mislabel logistic regression model, which takes into consideration of mislabeled responses. Another common method is to adopt a robust M-estimation by down-weighting suspected instances. In this work, we propose a new robust mislabel logistic regression based on γ-divergence...
May 10, 2017: Biometrics
Torben Martinussen, Stijn Vansteelandt, Eric J Tchetgen Tchetgen, David M Zucker
The use of instrumental variables for estimating the effect of an exposure on an outcome is popular in econometrics, and increasingly so in epidemiology. This increasing popularity may be attributed to the natural occurrence of instrumental variables in observational studies that incorporate elements of randomization, either by design or by nature (e.g., random inheritance of genes). Instrumental variables estimation of exposure effects is well established for continuous outcomes and to some extent for binary outcomes...
May 10, 2017: Biometrics
Audrey Mauguen, Venkatraman E Seshan, Irina Ostrovnaya, Colin B Begg
Next generation sequencing panels are being used increasingly in cancer research to study tumor evolution. A specific statistical challenge is to compare the mutational profiles in different tumors from a patient to determine the strength of evidence that the tumors are clonally related, that is, derived from a single, founder clonal cell. The presence of identical mutations in each tumor provides evidence of clonal relatedness, although the strength of evidence from a match is related to how commonly the mutation is seen in the tumor type under investigation...
May 8, 2017: Biometrics
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